Denham Jeans

Sunday, March 25, 2007

Polarised NSW

Yesterday the people of NSW went to the polls and voted.

In what is a rather interesting result, the state appears dramatically polarised.

Assuming that the Liberals just fail to win Port Stevens, the Liberals and Nationals have moved many of their current seats beyond reach, with only five seats held with margins from 5-10%, and one seat less than 5%.

This is a substantial change from the 2003 and 1999 results, where many seats have been held on low margins.

The ALP has seen many of their margins cut. Seven seats are held on less than 5%, and eight are held on between 5-10%.

At this stage it also seems likely that seventeen seats will be decided between the major parties and independants. This is a significant shift from prior results.

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